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四大当家投资品种新年行情预测大碰撞

NIN-HAI TSENG
2011-12-30

随着新年钟声即将敲响,我们有理由乐观,也有理由谨慎。房产、股票、黄金、石油明年走势如何?4个经济指标,8种观点:你是看涨,还是看跌?

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黄金:看涨

????黄金往往被视为经济欠佳时的安全投资品种。瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)相信2012年黄金可能继续赢得投资者的青睐。

????金价相比9月份1,900多美元/盎司的高点回落15%,让很多投资者担心黄金的牛市行情可能已经结束。但即便是在金价跌破牛熊分水岭200日均线之后,瑞士信贷仍相信金价将稳定在1,533美元/盎司的水平。

????长期来看,金价可能涨至2,000美元。毕竟,一直以来支撑金价的基本面没有改变多少。由于美国失业率仍徘徊在9%上下,投资者认为美国经济仍然存在不确定性。而且,旷日持久的欧洲债务危机还远未解决。

Gold: Bull

????Gold, popularly known as a safe investment when the economy isn't doing so great, is likely to continue getting the attention of investors in 2012, according to Credit Suisse.

????Gold's 15% slide since September's peak at over $1,900 an ounce has made many investors wonder if the end of its bull market run has come. But even though gold has broken below its 200-day average, which signals an end to the bull market, Credit Suisse expects prices to hold steady at $1,533 an ounce.

????For the long-term, prices could rise to $2,000. After all, the fundamentals that have supported prices haven't changed much. Investors continue to see uncertainty in the U.S. economy as unemployment hovers around 9%. What's more, Europe's ongoing debt crisis is nowhere close to being resolved.

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