????而对阿里巴巴看涨的受访者，则普遍将原因归结于阿里的业务实力。该公司占有中国五分之四的电商市场，而后者的规模高达4000亿美元，居全球之首，而且还在以每年25%的速度增长。支付宝是中国在线支付领域的主导者。天猫在国内实力非凡，以至于阿里巴巴的对手亚马逊不久之前都在天猫上开了店。

????还有一位受访者表示，另一个原因是阿里巴巴拥有中国最顶尖的人才。它把巨额资金投入国内外的初创企业，从而网罗了这些公司的核心高管。去年，阿里巴巴收购了移动浏览器公司UCWeb，创下了互联网行业并购规模之最，而UCWeb当时的首席执行官俞永福等高层在业内颇受敬重。

????今年底阿里巴巴的股价将收于多少，没人能未卜先知。不过，如果大家想让自己的预期更接近实际水平，或许可以先听听那些每日接触阿里巴巴的商界人士的意见。（财富中文网）

????译者：Charlie

????Of those who thought BABA would rise, the strength of the business was a common reason given. The company commands four-fifths of the e-commerce market in China, which happens to be the world’s largest at $400 billion and is growing 25% a year. Alipay is the country’s dominant online payment system. Tmall is such a strong platform in China that Alibaba rival Amazon.com AMZN 0.86% just opened its own store there.

????Another reason: Alibaba has cherry-picked top talent in China, one respondent said. Alibaba’s massive spending on startups in China and overseas is bringing key executives into the fold. Last year it acquired UCWeb, a Chinese mobile web browsing company with respected executives like its CEO Yu Yongfu, in the country’s biggest Internet deal.

????No-one can divine where Alibaba ends the year. But if you wanna get close, you might start by listening to the business people who are surrounded by Alibaba every day.